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	<title>Green Blog &#187; Poland 2008</title>
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		<title>Carbon cuts will only give us a 50/50 chance of saving the planet</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/03/19/carbon-cuts-will-only-give-us-a-5050-chance-of-saving-the-planet/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/03/19/carbon-cuts-will-only-give-us-a-5050-chance-of-saving-the-planet/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2009 17:37:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Gore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate talks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cop15]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Copenhagen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George Bush]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George Monbiot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Poland 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Poznań]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Todd Stern]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UK Met Office]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN COP15]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vicky Pope]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=1222</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Photo credit: azrainman New research from the UK Met Office, one of the world’s leading providers of environmental and weather-related services, shows that the world’s efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions would only offer a 50-50 chance of keeping temperature &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2009/03/19/carbon-cuts-will-only-give-us-a-5050-chance-of-saving-the-planet/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="flickr"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/10646468@N02/2047910540/" title="Earth Egg" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2159/2047910540_82620d9481_m.jpg" alt="Earth Egg" border="0" /></a><br /><small><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" title="Attribution License" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.green-blog.org/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" alt="Creative Commons License" border="0" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a> Photo credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/10646468@N02/2047910540/" title="azrainman" target="_blank">azrainman</a></small></div>
<p>New research from the <a href="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2009/pr20090309.html">UK Met Office</a>, one of the world’s leading providers of environmental and weather-related services, shows that the world’s efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions would only offer a <a href="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/climatechange/policymakers/policy/temperaturerises.html">50-50 chance</a> of keeping temperature rises below the two degree threshold. </p>
<blockquote><p>Dr Vicky Pope, Head of Climate Change Advice at the Met Office states: &#8220;Even with drastic cuts in emissions in the next 10 years, our results project that there will only be around a 50% chance of keeping global temperatures rises below 2 °C.</p>
<p>&#8220;This idealised emissions scenario is based on emissions peaking in 2015 and quickly changing from an increase of 2–3% per year to a decrease of 3% per year. For every 10 years we delay action another 0.5 °C will be added to the most likely temperature rise.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-1222"></span></p>
<p>The new research shows that <a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/carbon-cuts-only-give-5050-chance-of-saving-planet-1640154.html">early action against man-made climate change is a must</a> to be able to avoid the doomsday scenarios that comes with a two degree increase in global temperatures.</p>
<blockquote><p>“These new figures suggest quite unambiguously that the world is on course for calamity unless rapid action can be taken which is far more drastic than any politicians are so far contemplating – never mind the general public.</p>
<p>If action is sluggish or non-existent, the model suggests that climate change is likely to cause almost unthinkable damage to the world; under a &#8220;business-as-usual&#8221; scenario, with no action taken at all and emissions increasing by more than 100 per cent by 2050, the end-of-the-century rise in global average temperatures is likely to be 5.5C, with a worst-case outcome of 7.1C – which would make much of life on earth impossible.”</p></blockquote>
<p>The new findings from the UK Met Office were presented at the <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2009/03/18/experts-warns-that-sea-level-could-rise-with-more-than-a-metre-by-2100/">Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions Congress</a> in Copenhagen last week. And they will put even more pressure on the countries around the world now starting to gather and negotiate in Copenhagen for the upcoming UN Climate Change Conference this December – the last chance we have to take action against “the greatest threat the world has ever faced”.</p>
<p>Al Gore says <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/mar/14/al-gore-climate-change1">the world will agree on a new and better climate deal</a> this time. He argues that a &#8220;political tipping point&#8221; regarding climate change has been reached:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;There is a very impressive consensus now emerging around the world that the solutions to the economic crisis are also the solutions to the climate crisis,&#8221; he says. &#8220;I actually think we will get an agreement at Copenhagen.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>I am on the other hand not that optimistic. Sure, we might reach an agreement in Copenhagen. But will it be a strong agreement that actually take the new scientific findings into account? Or will it surrender to short-sighted economic gains from corporate interests? </p>
<p>I do see light in the tunnel. With the election of Barack Obama we got rid of the ignorant and idiotic stopping block, that is to say George Bush and the Republican Party. But even <a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/environmentalcapital/2009/03/04/hope-on-ice-the-white-house-gets-real-on-climate-change/">Obama is showing signs of weakness</a>. Todd Stern, the Obama administration’s new top climate-change negotiator, says that a 25% greenhouse gas reduction by 2020 is &#8220;not possible&#8221;:</p>
<blockquote><p>“It’s not possible to get that kind of number. It’s not going to happen,”</p></blockquote>
<p>And so far all the climate conferences and talks have ended in a total failure. The climate targets that have been set and agreed on are too conservative and don’t take the science into account. And pretty much all the reductions that countries so far have managed to do have been by outsourcing the pollution to poorer developing countries. For example the UN Climate Change Conference in Poznań, Poland, ended in <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/embarrassment-eu-leaders-fail-to-agree-on-a-strong-climate-deal/">embarrassment for the European Union</a> when it’s leaders failed to agree on a strong climate deal. George Monbiot, Europe’s leading green commentator, even called the new EU deal for “<a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/george-monbiot-the-new-european-climate-deal-is-carbon-colonialism/">carbon colonialism</a>”. </p>
<p>What we need is a new stronger climate deal that is based on science and not corporate interests. We need a climate deal with a goal of <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/24/350-remember-this-number-for-the-rest-of-your-life/">350 ppm</a> as a level to balance and stabilize the CO2 in our atmosphere. And we need a climate deal that includes sanctions against countries that do not follow the climate roadmap. Is that really too much to ask for?</p>
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		<title>Gore: We cannot negotiate with the facts, the truth and the consequences</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/01/07/gore-we-cannot-negotiate-with-the-facts-the-truth-and-the-consequences/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/01/07/gore-we-cannot-negotiate-with-the-facts-the-truth-and-the-consequences/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 13:56:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Poland 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[350 ppm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[450 ppm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Al Gore]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cop14]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Poland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Poznań]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[speech]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN climate summit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=859</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[During the embarrassing UN Climate Change Conference in Poznań, Poland, Al Gore held a speech where he said that the old and now &#8220;inadequate&#8221; climate change targets of 450 ppm (parts per million of CO2) had been made obsolete by &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2009/01/07/gore-we-cannot-negotiate-with-the-facts-the-truth-and-the-consequences/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>During the <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/embarrassment-eu-leaders-fail-to-agree-on-a-strong-climate-deal/">embarrassing</a> UN Climate Change Conference in <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/category/global-warming/poland-2008/">Poznań</a>, Poland, Al Gore held a speech where he said that the old and now &#8220;inadequate&#8221; climate change targets of 450 ppm (parts per million of CO2) had been made obsolete by new science (That&#8217;s what <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/24/350-remember-this-number-for-the-rest-of-your-life/">we</a> and <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/26/climate-safety-we-must-rapidly-decarbonise-our-society-preserve-global-sinks/">others</a> have been saying for a while now). Gore said that the world should instead aim for a 350 ppm target.</p>
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<p>The <a href="http://blog.algore.com/2008/12/speech_in_poznan.html">full transcript</a> of his speech can be found below:</p>
<p><span id="more-859"></span></p>
<p>Thank you very much. Thank you. Thank you very much for that warm welcome. And Yvo de Boer, thank you very much for your very generous introduction. And thank you for your leadership and tireless efforts in combating this crisis. Thank you so much. To all of the ministers, delegates, members of the NGO community, scientists, especially members of the IPCC who are gathered here, to my good friend who has shown such leadership and courage Wangari Maathai who is also here somewhere, and to all of the distinguished guests, this is an unusual moment during this long journey that began 16 years ago in Rio de Janeiro. To all of you who have worked here in Poznan and to the many of you who have worked at conferences throughout this process, thank you for your extraordinary efforts and for your remarkable achievements.</p>
<p>We, the human species, have arrived at a moment of fateful decision. It is unprecedented and in some ways even laughable to imagine that we could actually make a conscious choice as a species. But that is nevertheless the challenge that now faces us because our home, Earth, is in danger. What is at risk of being destroyed is of course not the planet itself but the conditions that have made it hospitable for human beings I will not dwell on the science but I want to state a few facts if only to underscore the urgency of our task. We are, after all, in a process of negotiation with one another around the world but it&#8217;s important to remind ourselves that we cannot negotiate with the facts. We cannot negotiate with the truth about our situation. We cannot negotiate with the consequences of unrestrained dumping of 70 million tons of global warming pollution into the thin shelf atmosphere surrounding our planet every 24 hours. Scientists have for several years now warned us that we are moving dangerously close to several so-called tipping points that could within less than 10 years make it impossible to avoid irretrievable damage to the planet&#8217;s habitability for human civilization unless we act quickly.</p>
<p>As many of you here know full well, in virtually all of the mountain ranges of this planet, the glaciers are now melting rapidly in the Alps in the Andes in the Rockies and most ominously in the Himalayas which contain number 100 times as much ice and snow of all of the mountains here in Europe.</p>
<p>The leading Chinese scientist who studies ice, professor Yao Tandong calls the Tibetan plateau the water tower of Asia. As you know it feeds the great rivers of Asia, the Indus, the Ganges, the Brahmaputra, the Salween and the Irawati, the Mekong, the Yangtze and the Yellow. 1.4 billion people depend for more than half of their drinking water on the rivers and spring systems that flow from the ice of the Tibetan plateau which is now melting at an alarming rate. Because the climate crisis has also increased the rate of soil moisture evaporation around the world and concentrated rainfall in shorter periods of time, shifting the seasons during which it falls, there is increased desertification and longer droughts, increasing stress on all of the people who live in the dry land regions of our world. Many shallow lakes, including prominently lake Chad, have disappeared. The Great Lakes of Africa are undergoing dramatic change, the Great Lakes of North America are losing their ice cover, and the water level is dropping dramatically. Last year 2000 scientists gathered at the food and agriculture organization in Rome to discuss their fear of an impending crisis in the Mediterranean as it becomes saltier and as warmer water reaches its depths, threatening in the future to turn it into a stagnant sea if this process continues. The dumping of 25 million tons of CO2 into the oceans of the world every day, and the increasing acidification of the ocean water along with rising temperature is putting stress on the ocean Fisheries throughout our planet. And as you know, the warming ocean waters are also causing stronger typhoons and cyclones and hurricanes. Typhoon Saomai was the strongest to hit China in more than 50 years, two of the three strongest histories in history hit south Asia within the last 3 years, one of them killing 20,000 people in Myanmar. We have had such strong storms in North America as well, and in South America where Brazil had the first hurricane in recorded history. Massive flooding has resulted at record rates on every continent. Last year more than a dozen countries in Africa suffered the consequences of such flooding. Last year Mexico had record flooding. We have seen comparable events in Europe and throughout the world. Heat waves continue. Two winters ago was the hottest winter in the history of recorded atmospheric measurements. 20 of the 21 hottest years in recorded history have occurred in the last 25 years. The university of Tel Aviv recently published a new study predicting that with each 1 degree increase in temperature there is a 10 percent increase in lightning, along with man-made causes, we are now seeing record fires as dryer soils and dryer vegetation leads to spreading fires in Greece, for example last year and in many other countries as well. The extinction crisis is tearing at the fabric of the web of life, and the scientific consensus that we must take action was strengthened by the IPCC yet again earlier this year. So the science is clear, and we are faced with a sharp contrast between two notional rates of change, first, the rate at which we are approaching a point of no return in terms of systems collapse, and second, the slower rate at which we have been addressing the problem of how to reduce the emissions that are causing this crisis. We are moving up against a physical standard that doesn&#8217;t give credit for a good try. We will succeed or we will fail. At every time of great challenge, we as human beings first of all must resolve a struggle in our own hearts between hope and fear. That struggle is palpable here during this meeting at Poznan. The causes for fear, pessimism, discouragement and doubt have been discussed in whispered conversations among the delegates here. The global recession, we are told, makes the task of solving the climate crisis more difficult. The businesses lobbies in the developed nations we are told have too much power and may divert leaders from their obligation to safeguard our future. The prices for oil &#8212; the prices for oil and coal have, in a cyclical and destructive pattern, once again risen to new highs in the first half of this year, contributing to the causes of the economic downturn, only then to once again plummet to levels that threaten to discourage investments necessary to develop renewable sources of energy and effective measures to improve conservation and efficiency. We are also told that even though people throughout the world are more aware of the unprecedented threat posed by the climate crisis, many still seem not to feel the appropriate sense of urgency that should cause them to demand the emergency measures that the scientists have so clearly told us governments must take as quickly as possible. The gap between rich and poor as we are all aware is not being closed with sufficient speed to build the unity of purpose so desperately needed as a basis for supporting global action. These are all causes for doubt, for fear, for pessimism. But in spite of these fears and doubts, you have continued your work and have continued to make steady progress in resolving many issues that once seemed intractable. Thank you. And even though the steps that you have taken and that have been taken by nations around the world sometimes seem small and even though the progress seems painfully slow, it is worth taking stock and recognizing that this great enterprise that began 16 years ago has now taken us to a vantage point from which we can see the basis for success because in spite of the remaining obstacles and difficulties, I believe that the causes for hope and optimism are greater than the causes for doubt and discouragement, and I believe the road to Copenhagen is now clear.</p>
<p>Let me outline for you the basis for the hope and optimism that I feel in my heart. In the midst of this synchronized global recession, there is an emerging consensus throughout the world that the best, indeed the only way to effectively combat the recession is with a synchronized global stimulus and in nation after nation, leaders have concluded that they must design a green stimulus and build the infrastructure for renewable sources of energy and put people to work retro-fitting homes and buildings with CO2 reducing insulation and windows and lighting and more efficient technologies. China, a second cause for hope, China once seem by many as a looming obstacle to the world&#8217;s effort to reduce CO2 emissions has itself announced a green stimulus of $600 billion over the next 2 years. Chinese leaders are mobilizing a national effort to introduce CO2 reduction initiatives and have already begun the largest tree planting program the world has ever seen. And in contrast to it 2 years ago, no one at this conference has said China is standing in the way of progress. China is ready to join in leading the world toward a solution for this crisis. Much more needs to be done, of course. Much more needs to be done even in countries that have in the last few years provided leadership. The struggle between hope and fear is taking place even today here in Europe. And yet we hear the reports that leaders once resistant to fiscal stimulus are now calling for massive new initiatives to create jobs in ways that also reduce CO2 and the Secretary general of the United Nations who has provided such tremendous leadership for the world in this process has himself called for what he terms a green new deal in the world.</p>
<p>Developing countries that were once reluctant to join in the first phases of a global response to the climate crisis have themselves now become leaders in demanding action and in taking bold steps on their own initiative. Just last week Brazil proposed an impressive new plan to halt the destructive deforestation in that nation.</p>
<p>Thanks to your efforts in Bali and in the continuing discussions, we now know how to integrate the protection of forests in a global agreement that also sharply reduces industrial sources of global warming pollution. Yes, much more work needs to be done, but you have created the basis for integrating the different kinds of solutions that must come together to solve this crisis. Another source of optimism, scientists and engineers and entrepreneurs in every part of the world have been busy and productive in developing exciting new ex-technologies that will dramatically improve our ability to create renewable energy, they are creating the basis for increasing living standards while simultaneously reducing pollution. In my country there have also been promising and optimistic changes. State governments, including the State of California, our largest state, have shown leadership by passing binding laws requiring the mandatory reduction of CO2. 884 U.S. cities have now embraced the principles of the Kyoto protocol without waiting for the Federal Government to act. The United States &#8212; dozens of proposed coal firing generating plants have in the last 2 years been cancelled because of grassroots opposition and public pressure to adopt renewable sources of energy.</p>
<p>The United States Supreme Court, which I must tell you in my opinion does not always reach the right conclusion, decided earlier this year in a ruling that the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is required by law to regulate CO2 emissions. No new coal fired generating plant can be approved without a decision by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.</p>
<p>1 year ago this week in Bali at another extraordinary moment during this process, I asked you to anticipate the possibility that there would be significant changes in the approach of the U.S. national government to the climate crisis because of our oncoming elections.</p>
<p>Just prior to coming here to Poznan, I went to Chicago for a meeting with president-elect Barack Obama and he emphasized that the climate crisis will be a top priority of his administration. We discussed how to create millions of new jobs in a new clean energy economy, and he emphasized that once he is president, the United States will once again engage vigorously in these negotiations and help lead toward a successful conclusion.</p>
<p>I would like to read to you some of the public statements that president-elect Barack Obama has made since the election. He said, “…the time for delay is over. The time for denial is over. We all believe what the scientists have been telling us for years now, that this is a matter of urgency and national security and it has to be dealt with in a serious way. That&#8217;s what I intend my administration to do.”</p>
<p>He said in another statement, “The science is beyond dispute. The facts are clear…. Washington has failed to show leadership. That will change when I take office. My presidency will mark a new chapter in America&#8217;s leadership on climate change… That will start with a Federal cap and trade system&#8230; It will not only help us bring about a clean energy future saving our planet, it will also help us transform our industries and steer our country out of this economic crisis….Solving this problem will require all of us working together….Once I take office, you can be sure that the United States will once again engage vigorously in these negotiations and help lead the world toward a new era of global cooperation on climate change.”</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t discount these words. Will there be difficulties? Of course. Not only in my country but in every country. You know that better than most. Mahatma Gandhi, one of the most inspirational leaders in the history of the world said halfway through the last century that the most powerful force in global politics is what he called &#8220;satyagraha&#8221; which I am told translates into my language roughly as &#8220;truth force&#8221;. The reason why you have been able to continue moving forward is because you understand the truth about the crisis that we face.</p>
<p>One of Mahatma Gandhi&#8217;s &#8212; one of those inspired by Mahatma Gandhi, Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. once said in discussing human rights, injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere. In that very same way, we now face a crisis that makes it abundantly clear that increased CO2 emissions anywhere are a threat to the integrity of this planet&#8217;s climate balance everywhere. As a result, the old divide between north and south, between developed countries and developing countries is a divide that must become obsolete. We must link poverty reduction with the sharp reduction of CO2 emissions, including reduced emissions from deforestation with reform of the clean development mechanism and adequate funding for adaptation that is essential and must be financed even though obviously mitigation and prevention are the primary task because without them adaptation would ultimately prove to be impossible.</p>
<p>We hear a lot also about capacity building. A phrase that is almost exclusively used with respect to the developing countries and indeed capacity building is important there. But I want to talk about the need for capacity building in the developed countries as well. The political systems in the developed world have become sclerotic. We have to overcome the paralysis that has prevented us from acting and focused unblinkingly on this crisis as opposed to spending so much time on OJ Simpson and Paris Hilton and Anna Nicole Smith. In this struggle between our hopes for success and the doubts that constantly complicate this task, we have to call upon the people of the world to speak up more forcefully, to put their weight in the balance of the scales that are measured by world leaders. The truth is that the goals we are reaching toward are incredibly difficult, and even a goal of 450 parts per million, which seems so difficult today, is inadequate. We will soon need to toughen that goal to 350 parts per million. We understand that. But we have to understand as delegates in this process understand all too clearly the difference between stating the goal and reaching the goal. As governments come to grips with the very difficult work that has to be performed in order to reach even a goal of 450 parts per million, the task can seem very daunting. But for those of us who do understand that the goal should be tougher still, let us remember that the early steps in a process of reaching a goal of 450 parts per million and a process to reach 350 parts per million, the early steps are very similar, and we know from experience that once the process of change begins, once the momentum shifts, once the decisions are arrived at, then the task often becomes easier in the doing. As we start making these changes, we will see that they do strengthen our economies, they do create millions of new jobs, and they do improve the standard of living. To those who are fearful &#8212; to those who are fearful that it is too difficult to conclude this process with a new treaty by the deadline that has been established for 1 year from now in Copenhagen, I say it can be done. It must be done. Let&#8217;s finish this process at Copenhagen. Don&#8217;t take the pressure off. Let&#8217;s make sure that we succeed. Because ultimately this really is not a political issue. It is of course a moral issue, and even a spiritual issue, however you understand that word. And our different traditions lead us to different ways of describing a spiritual challenge. But this one affects the survival of human civilization. It is simply put, a question of right versus wrong, and we have to bring to bear that truth force and that moral courage necessary to do what is sometimes seen as impossible. Very simply put, it is wrong for this generation to destroy the habitability of our planet and ruin the prospects of every future generation. That realization &#8212; that realization must carry us forward. Our children have a right to hold us to a higher standard when the future of all human civilization is hanging in the balance. They deserve better, and politicians who sit on their hands and do nothing to confront the greatest challenge humankind has ever faced. This crisis does offer us the chance to experience what few generations have had the privilege of experiencing, a generational mission, a compelling moral purpose, a shared cause and the opportunity to put aside the pettiness and conflict of politics and narrower concerns to embrace a genuine moral generational mission. I believe that it is time between now and the gathering in Copenhagen 1 year from now for heads of state to become personally involved in meeting several times between Poznan and Copenhagen. I don&#8217;t think that they can stay disengaged from this process any longer.</p>
<p>I am very optimistic about the leadership of the new Danish chair that will preside over the meeting in Copenhagen, and even though I do not have the opportunity to speak formally for the people of my country, I would like to relay to you a message that I heard from the people of the United States of America this year, that I think is very relevant to the task the world is facing over this next year. Yes, we can. Thank you.</p>
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		<title>George Monbiot: The new European climate deal is carbon colonialism</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/george-monbiot-the-new-european-climate-deal-is-carbon-colonialism/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/george-monbiot-the-new-european-climate-deal-is-carbon-colonialism/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Dec 2008 17:21:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Poland 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Angela Merkel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[colonialism]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[UN climate summit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=805</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Photo credit: World Economic Forum George Monbiot writes today on the Guardian that the new EU emissions agreement is a disaster and calls it carbon colonialism. So much for the Europeans leading the way on climate change. Even as our &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/george-monbiot-the-new-european-climate-deal-is-carbon-colonialism/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="flickr"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/15237218@N00/374712479/" title="Angela Merkel - World Economic Forum Annual Meeting Davos 2007" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm1.static.flickr.com/184/374712479_c62bdd666d_m.jpg" alt="Angela Merkel - World Economic Forum Annual Meeting Davos 2007" border="0" /></a><br /><small><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/" title="Attribution-ShareAlike License" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.green-blog.org/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" alt="Creative Commons License" border="0" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a> Photo credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/15237218@N00/374712479/" title="World Economic Forum" target="_blank">World Economic Forum</a></small></div>
<p>George Monbiot <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/12/greenpolitics-poznan">writes today on the Guardian</a> that the new EU emissions agreement is a disaster and calls it carbon colonialism. </p>
<blockquote><p>So much for the Europeans leading the way on climate change. Even as our governments claim they want to drag the world into an effective climate agreement in Poznan, they have just pulled Europe out of one in Brussels. </p>
<p>The agreement they have just reached is a disaster. The 20% carbon cut they promise by 2020 falls miles short of what&#8217;s needed, and they&#8217;ll be able to buy most of it from abroad anyway. All this means, in a world which has to eliminate most of its carbon pollution, is that other countries, which have sold their easiest reductions to us, will then find it harder to make emissions cuts of their own. It&#8217;s carbon colonialism, in which Europe picks the low-hanging fruit in developing countries, leaving them with much tougher choices later on.</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-805"></span></p>
<p>Monbiot blames the failure on Germany, which he calls the new dirty man of Europe. Monbiot says that <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/10/germany-poland-and-italy-blocks-strong-european-leadership-on-climate/">Angela Merkel</a> is prepared to go green only when it doesn&#8217;t hurt big business.</p>
<blockquote><p>[…]Who has pushed hardest for these exemptions? The great green German chancellor Angela Merkel. The British government&#8217;s environmental policies are wildly contradictory, but they look almost coherent by comparison to Germany&#8217;s. In some respects it&#8217;s the most progressive country in the EU, with a federal scheme to insulate the entire housing stock and an investment in wind power which puts the UK (with far greater wind resources) to shame. In other respects it has become the dirty man of Europe. It was Merkel who demanded weaker standards for fuel efficiency in cars, Merkel who pushed hardest for a €40bn bail-out of the motor manufacturers, Merkel who now insists that the big cement, steel and chemicals companies are allowed to get away without paying.</p>
<p>[…]Shame on you, Mrs Merkel. With the help of Donald Tusk, Silvio Berlusconi and one or two other Neanderthals, you have now messed it up for everyone.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>Read it:</strong> <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/dec/12/greenpolitics-poznan">Germany: the new dirty man of Europe</a></p>
<p><strong>Related: </strong><a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/embarrassment-eu-leaders-fail-to-agree-on-a-strong-climate-deal/">EU leaders fail to agree on a strong climate deal</a></p>
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		<title>Embarrassment: EU leaders fail to agree on a strong climate deal</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/embarrassment-eu-leaders-fail-to-agree-on-a-strong-climate-deal/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/embarrassment-eu-leaders-fail-to-agree-on-a-strong-climate-deal/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Dec 2008 16:49:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Poland 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Angela Merkel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ban Ki-moon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cop14]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Delia Villagrasa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Tusk]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[European Union]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Jose Manuel Barroso]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nicolas Sarkozy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Poznań]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=801</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Photo credit: rockcohen Leaders from the European Union (EU) have just agreed on a new watered-down climate deal to tackle global warming. The actual emissions cuts could amount to as little as 4% by 2020. Yesterday UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/12/embarrassment-eu-leaders-fail-to-agree-on-a-strong-climate-deal/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="flickr"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/51567388@N00/2390666040/" title="European Flag" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3148/2390666040_2e6b0a9a78_m.jpg" alt="European Flag" border="0" /></a><br /><small><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/" title="Attribution-ShareAlike License" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.green-blog.org/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" alt="Creative Commons License" border="0" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a> Photo credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/51567388@N00/2390666040/" title="rockcohen" target="_blank">rockcohen</a></small></div>
<p><strong>Leaders from the European Union (EU) have just agreed on a new watered-down climate deal to tackle global warming. The actual emissions cuts could amount to as little as 4% by 2020.</strong></p>
<p>Yesterday UN Secretary-General <a href="http://www.france24.com/en/20081211-ban-ki-moon-calls-green-new-deal-2009-climate-eu">Ban Ki-moon said in Poznan</a> that “the world is watching us. The next generation is counting on us. We must not fail.” He also called for the EU to show the way and leadership on the climate crisis for other countries. Unfortunately it seems the short-sighted “leaders” of Europe ignored him. Instead of 30% emission cuts by 2020 the EU leaders only agreed on cuts by <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7778787.stm">20% by 2020</a>, compared to 1990 levels. </p>
<p>But the actual emission cuts could end up being as little as 4% by 2020, environmental groups warned. That is because of special exemptions for dirty industries in Europe as well as allowing cheap emission cuts overseas to be counted to the EU total. The latter has been heavily pushed by the new Swedish right-wing government who has called for as much as <a href="http://blogg.naturskyddsforeningen.se/svante/2008/12/11/lang-vag-till-klimatavtal-i-kopenhamn/">88% of the EU emission cuts</a> to be allowed to do overseas in development countries. </p>
<p><span id="more-801"></span></p>
<p>“EU leaders will probably trumpet the deal on climate change as a great success, but in reality this is a big failure in EU ambition,” <a href="http://www.panda.org/news_facts/newsroom/news/index.cfm?uNewsID=152825">said Delia Villagrasa</a>, Senior Advisor to WWF. </p>
<p>“Basically, Europe just decided to off-set about two thirds of its own greenhouse gas emissions, to have consumers pay for emissions permits that polluting companies get for free and to avoid supporting poorer countries in the fight to climate change. This is not quite the third industrial revolution we were expecting,</p>
<p>“The result of this race to the bottom is that Europe will reduce its own greenhouses gas emissions significantly less than the proclaimed 20% target by 2020.”</p>
<p>EU leaders on the other hand have said <a href="http://greeninc.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/12/12/eu-considering-weaker-co2-reduction-plans/?partner=MOREOVERNEWS&#038;ei=5040">the new climate deal</a> is “historic” and “ambitious”.</p>
<p>EU Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso called the plans &#8220;the most ambitious proposals anywhere in the world&#8221;, saying that &#8220;Europe has today passed its credibility test. We mean business when we talk about climate.&#8221; </p>
<p>And French President Nicolas Sarkozy told a press conference in Brussels that “this is historic” and that it “was difficult up to the last minute” to reach an agreement on the deal.</p>
<p>“A flagship E.U. policy now has no pilot, a mutinous crew and numerous holes in its fuselage,” said Sanjeev Kumar of the environment group WWF.</p>
<p>“This is a dark day for European climate policy. European heads of state and government have reneged on their promises and turned their backs on global efforts to fight climate change,” Climate Action Network Europe, Friends of the Earth Europe, Greenpeace, Oxfam and WWF said in a joint statement today. </p>
<p>“<a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/12/10/germany-poland-and-italy-blocks-strong-european-leadership-on-climate/">Angela Merkel</a>, Silvio Berlusconi, Donald Tusk and Nicolas Sarkozy should be ashamed. They have chosen the private profits of polluting industry over the will of European citizens, the future of their children and the plight of millions of people around the world. The Parliament can and should amend the worst parts of today’s deal.”</p>
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		<title>Obama: I look forward to working with all nations to meet the climate challenge</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/19/obama-i-look-forward-to-working-with-all-nations-to-meet-the-climate-challenge/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/19/obama-i-look-forward-to-working-with-all-nations-to-meet-the-climate-challenge/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2008 13:53:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cap and Trade Program]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=706</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yesterday, during the Governors Global Climate Summit in California, Obama promised that USA would &#8220;engage vigorously&#8221; in the climate negotiations and &#8220;help lead the world toward a new era of global cooperation on climate change&#8221;. Unfortunately Obama yesterday turned down &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/19/obama-i-look-forward-to-working-with-all-nations-to-meet-the-climate-challenge/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yesterday, during the <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/18/obama-promises-actions-on-climate-change-not-going-to-attend-un-climate-conference/">Governors Global Climate Summit</a> in California, Obama promised that USA would &#8220;engage vigorously&#8221; in the climate negotiations and &#8220;help lead the world toward a new era of global cooperation on climate change&#8221;. </p>
<p>Unfortunately Obama yesterday turned down invitations to go to the <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/category/global-warming/poland-2008/">UN climate conference in Poland</a> this December. And he has not yet promised that as President he will sign the Kyoto protocol.</p>
<p>Below you can watch Obama&#8217;s speech during the climate summit, and read the transcript of the video:</p>
<p><span id="more-706"></span></p>
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<p><strong>The transcript of the video:</strong></p>
<p>Let me begin by thanking the bipartisan group of U.S. governors who convened this meeting. Few challenges facing America — and the world — are more urgent than combating climate change. The science is beyond dispute and the facts are clear. Sea levels are rising. Coastlines are shrinking. We’ve seen record drought, spreading famine, and storms that are growing stronger with each passing hurricane season.</p>
<p>Climate change and our dependence on foreign oil, if left unaddressed, will continue to weaken our economy and threaten our national security. I know many of you are working to confront this challenge. In particular, I want to commend Governor Sebelius, Governor Doyle, Governor Crist, Governor Blagojevich and your host, Governor Schwarzenegger — all of you have shown true leadership in the fight to combat global warming. And we’ve also seen a number of businesses doing their part by investing in clean energy technologies.</p>
<p>But too often, Washington has failed to show the same kind of leadership. That will change when I take office. My presidency will mark a new chapter in America’s leadership on climate change that will strengthen our security and create millions of new jobs in the process.</p>
<p>That will start with a federal cap and trade system. We will establish strong annual targets that set us on a course to reduce emissions to their 1990 levels by 2020 and reduce them an additional 80 percent by 2050. Further, we will invest $15 billion each year to catalyze private-sector efforts to build a clean energy future. We will invest in solar power, wind power and next-generation biofuels. We will tap nuclear power, while making sure it’s safe. And we will develop clean coal technologies.</p>
<p>This investment will not only help us reduce our dependence on foreign oil, making the United States more secure. And it will not only help us bring about a clean energy future, saving our planet. It will also help us transform our industries and steer our country out of this economic crisis by generating five million new green jobs that pay well and can’t be outsourced.</p>
<p>But the truth is, the United States cannot meet this challenge alone. Solving this problem will require all of us working together. I understand that your meeting is being attended by government officials from over a dozen countries, including the U.K., Canada and Mexico, Brazil and Chile, Poland and Australia, India and Indonesia. And I look forward to working with all nations to meet this challenge in the coming years.</p>
<p>Let me also say a special word to the delegates from around the world who will gather at Poland next month: your work is vital to the planet. While I won’t be president at the time of your meeting and while the United States has only one president at a time, I’ve asked members of Congress who are attending the conference as observers to report back to me on what they learn there.</p>
<p>And once I take office, you can be sure that the United States will once again engage vigorously in these negotiations, and help lead the world toward a new era of global cooperation on climate change.</p>
<p>Now is the time to confront this challenge once and for all. Delay is no longer an option. Denial is no longer an acceptable response. The stakes are too high. The consequences, too serious.</p>
<p>Stopping climate change won’t be easy. It won’t happen overnight. But I promise you this: When I am president, any governor who’s willing to promote clean energy will have a partner in the White House. Any company that’s willing to invest in clean energy will have an ally in Washington. And any nation that’s willing to join the cause of combating climate change will have an ally in the United States of America. Thank you.</p>
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		<title>Obama promises actions on climate change, not going to attend UN climate conference</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/18/obama-promises-actions-on-climate-change-not-going-to-attend-un-climate-conference/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/18/obama-promises-actions-on-climate-change-not-going-to-attend-un-climate-conference/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Nov 2008 21:05:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Poland 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arnold Schwarzenegger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[California]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cap and Trade Program]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate summit]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=702</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[During a climate summit in California today Barack Obama said, in a taped video, that his &#8220;presidency will mark a new chapter in America&#8217;s leadership on climate change&#8221;. Obama spoke about his support for a cap-and-trade system and that he &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/11/18/obama-promises-actions-on-climate-change-not-going-to-attend-un-climate-conference/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://www.green-blog.org/media/images/uploads/2008/11/california-climate-summit.jpg" alt="" title="Governor Schwarzenegger Opens Governors’ Global Climate Summit" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-703" /></p>
<p>During a climate summit in California today <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/18/obama-promises-climate-ch_n_144653.html">Barack Obama said</a>, in a taped video, that his &#8220;presidency will mark a new chapter in America&#8217;s leadership on climate change&#8221;.</p>
<p>Obama spoke about his support for a cap-and-trade system and that he would reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2020 and with 80% by 2050. Obama also said he wanted to give the private sector $15 billion each year to support their investments efforts in clean energy.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;I promise you this: When I am president, any governor who&#8217;s willing to promote clean energy will have a partner in the White House. Any company that&#8217;s willing to invest in clean energy will have an ally in Washington. And any nation that&#8217;s willing to join the cause of combating climate change will have an ally in the United States of America.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-702"></span></p>
<p>Obama also said that he would not attend the United Nations climate change conference in Poland this December. But he promised that once he becomes President USA &#8220;will once again engage vigorously in these negotiations&#8221;.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Once I take office, you can be sure that the United States will once again engage vigorously in these negotiations, and help lead the world toward a new era of global cooperation on climate change.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>The &#8220;Governors Global Climate Summit&#8221;, <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/18/schwarzenegger-opens-glob_n_144665.html">opened by Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger</a>, will have more than 800 scientists, environmentalists, government and industry officials from 19 different countries attending. The attendees will discuss strategies to cut greenhouse gas emissions and how countries can protect both the environment and the economy.</p>
<p>&#8220;When California passed its global warming law two years ago, we were out there on an island, so we started forming partnerships everywhere we could,&#8221; <a href="http://gov.ca.gov/index.php?/press-release/11082/">Governor Schwarzenegger said</a>. &#8220;We teamed up with Great Britain, the Canadian provinces, the Western and Northeastern states and with states like those of my co hosts-Illinois, Florida, Kansas, Wisconsin and more. And right here, for the first time, we have officials from China, India, Mexico, Brazil, Indonesia and across the world in the same summit, working toward the same goal of reducing greenhouse gas emissions and growing green economies in our own backyards.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;Florida&#8217;s rapid progress has been possible only through partnership agreements with the United Kingdom and Germany, and with the help of my good friend, Governor Schwarzenegger,&#8221; Florida Governor Charlie Crist said. &#8220;Progress comes only as we work together-not at the expense of future economic growth-but as a necessity for the future prosperity of all nations and states.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8220;This Summit is an opportunity to strengthen important relationships with business and government officials nationally and internationally and develop climate change strategies that will save us money, create jobs, help secure our world and improve our air and water,&#8221; Wisconsin Governor Doyle said.</p>
<p>&#8220;There is an incredible opportunity here to get our nation&#8217;s economy back on track by creating green jobs and becoming a world leader in the development of clean energy technologies,&#8221;  Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius said. &#8220;In Kansas, our farms and fields can produce tomorrow&#8217;s energy through biofuels and clean, renewable wind. Rural America is going to play an important part in securing energy independence for our nation.&#8221;</p>
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