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	<title>Green Blog &#187; Dr James Hansen</title>
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	<link>http://www.green-blog.org</link>
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		<title>Great power point lectures by top climate scientists and analysts</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/06/18/great-power-point-lectures-by-top-climate-scientists-and-analysts/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/06/18/great-power-point-lectures-by-top-climate-scientists-and-analysts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2009 11:09:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dr Gideon Polya</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[300]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[300 ppm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[350]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[350 ppm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Glikson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barry Brook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canberra Climate Action Summit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Emergency Network]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Spratt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr James Hansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Graeme Pearman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Hansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Holdren]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peter Seligman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phillip Sutton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[power point lectures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yarra Valley Climate Action Group]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=1621</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8220;Nevertheless the climate sceptics are unfazed and essentially all governments around the world are committed to continuing to increase atmospheric carbon dioxide&#8230;&#8221; An overwhelming global scientific consensus says that man-made global warming is happening NOW. Indeed for the latest see &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2009/06/18/great-power-point-lectures-by-top-climate-scientists-and-analysts/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="quote1">&#8220;Nevertheless the climate sceptics are unfazed and essentially all governments around the world are committed to continuing to increase atmospheric carbon dioxide&#8230;&#8221;</div>
<p> An overwhelming global scientific consensus says that man-made global warming is happening NOW. Indeed for the latest see the report from President Obama’s science advisers that states that massive climatic disruption is already affecting the United States and that projects that the average U.S. temperature could rise by as much as 11 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of the century (see “<a href="http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/wireStory?id=7852852">White House: climate change damage happening now. Obama&#8217;s first global warming report most dire yet: Ill effects already here, will get worse</a>”). Thus White House report report co-author Anthony Janetos of the University of Maryland: </p>
<blockquote><p>“There are in some cases already serious consequences. This is not a theoretical thing that will happen 50 years from now. Things are happening now.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>Nevertheless the climate sceptics are unfazed and essentially all governments around the world are committed to continuing to increase atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration above the present level of circa 390 parts per million (ppm) to even more dangerous levels. </p>
<p>In contrast, in climate criminal Australia (one of the world’s worst annual per capita greenhouse gas polluters) climate activists and leading climate scientists are calling for urgent reduction of atmospheric CO2 to 300 ppm. The Australia-based Climate Emergency Network, the Canberra Climate Action Summit (over 140 Australia-wide climate action groups), the influential Yarra Valley Climate Action Group and 300.org all say – informed by the latest science from America’s Dr James Hansen (NASA GISS), Australia’s Professor Barry Brook (climate science, University of Adelaide) and others &#8211; that for a safe and sustainable existence for all people and all species the atmospheric CO2 of our warming-threatened planet must be urgently reduced from the current circa 390 ppm to 300 ppm (<a href="http://sites.google.com/site/300orgsite/300-org">click here for details and documentation</a>).</p>
<p><span id="more-1621"></span></p>
<p>What can a man believe? Well, just as we turn to top medical specialists for advice on life-threatening disease, so we turn to the opinions of top scientists and in particular top biological and climate scientists for climate change risk assessment and climate emergency facts and requisite actions. Further, we haven’t the time or money to attend university courses on climate science – but we can access publicly available lectures given by top climate scientists and analysts.</p>
<p>A number of readily accessed, readily scanned, easily comprehended and brilliantly illustrated climate change power point lectures are available which point to the urgent need to reduce atmospheric CO2 from the current ~390 ppm to ~300 ppm. </p>
<p>Thus that by NASA&#8217;s Dr Hansen entitled “<a href="http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2008/TippingPointsNear_20080623.pdf">Global warming 20 years later: tipping points near</a>” (2008) (address to National Press Club, and House Select Committee on Energy Independence &#038; Global warming, Washington DC [44 pages]) spells out that 300-325 ppm atmospheric CO2 concentration is needed for restoration of sea ice, QUOTES: &#8220;Target CO2: <350 ppm To preserve creation, the planet on which civilization developed" and "Arctic Sea Ice Criterion. 1. Restore Planetary Energy Balance -> CO2: 385 ppm -> 325-355 ppm. 2. Restore Sea Ice: Aim for &#8211; 0.5 W/m2, CO2: 385 -> 300-325 ppm. Range based on uncertainty in present planetary energy imbalance (between 0.5 and 1 W/m2)&#8221;.</p>
<p>Some of these excellent power point lectures on climate change are accessible via the links provided below. The credentials of these top scientists and analysts are given in parentheses.</p>
<p><strong>1. Professor Barry Brook </strong>(Sir Hubert Wilkins Chair of Climate Change, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia), “<a href="http://www.lga.sa.gov.au/webdata/resources/files/Professor_Barry_Brook_-_2008_Climate_Change_Summit_-_PowerPoint_Presentation.pdf">Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies</a>” (2008), an outline of  paleoclimate history, climatic disruption and mitigation and adaptation strategies [40 pages]. </p>
<p><strong>2. Dr Andrew Glikson</strong> (Earth and paleoclimate scientist,  School of Archaeology and Anthropology &#038; Research School of Earth Science, Australian National University (ANU), Canberra, Australia), &#8220;<a href="http://sites.google.com/site/yarravalleyclimateactiongroup/dr-andrew-glikson-human-evolution-and-the-atmosphere-return-to-the-pliocene">Human evolution and the atmosphere: return of the Pliocene?</a>&#8221; (2008),  illustrating the global temperature, methane and CO2 levels in the generally cooling period since the Pliocene (3 Mya, million years ago) during which time the genus Homo evolved to yield Homo sapiens (us) about 100,000 years ago. However, massive man-made greenhouse gas (GHG) pollution in the industrial era (post-1750) has pushed atmospheric CO2 concentration outside the range of 180-300 ppm obtaining during the final evolution of Homo sapiens from his immediate precursors over the last 600,000 years [46 pages].</p>
<p><strong>3. Dr James Hansen</strong> (top US climate scientist; Director, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies; Adjunct Professor, Columbia University, New York; member of the prestigious  US National Academy of Sciences; 2007 Award for Scientific Freedom and Responsibility of the prestigious American Association for the Advancement of Science), “<a href="http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/2008/TippingPointsNear_20080623.pdf">Global warming 20 years later: tipping points near</a>” (2008) &#8211; address to National Press Club, and House Select Committee on Energy Independence &#038; Global warming, Washington DC [44 pages].</p>
<p><strong>4. Dr James Hansen</strong> (top US climate scientist; Director, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies; Adjunct Professor, Columbia University, New York), “<a href="http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/">Climate threat to the planet. Implications for energy policy and intergenerational justice</a>”, Bjerknes Lecture, American Biophysical Union, San Francisco, California, 17 December, 2008 [39 pages]. [For a series of other incisive writings by Dr James Hansen see: <a href="http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/">http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/</a>, most notably Dr James Hansen, “<a href="http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2009/20090226_WaysAndMeans.pdf">Carbon Tax and 100% Dividend vs. Tax and Trade</a>”, Committee on Ways &#038; Means, US House of Representatives, February 2009].</p>
<p><strong>5. Professor John Holdren</strong> (Professor of Environmental Policy and Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University; Director, Woods Hole Research Center; former president, American Association for the Advancement of Science, AAAS; President Barack Obama’s chief science adviser), “<a href="http://www.usclimateaction.org/userfiles/JohnHoldren.pdf">The Science of Climate Disruption</a>” (2008) – a summary of the basis of man-made global warming and the climatic disruption that has already occurred [32 pages].</p>
<p><strong>6. Dr Graeme Pearman</strong> (former Climate director, Australian CSIRO, Australia’s premier scientific research organization; GP Consulting; interim director, MSI; Monash University Sustainability Group), “<a href="http://www.dpi.nsw.gov.au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0011/126569/graeme-pearman-monash-university-namoi-climate-change-forums.pdf">Climate change: the evidence, science and current projections</a>” (2008) [37 pages].</p>
<p><strong>7. Dr Peter Seligman</strong> (Bionic Ear engineer, Cochlear Pty Ltd and Monash University, Melbourne, Australia), “<a href="http://sites.google.com/site/yarravalleyclimateactiongroup/dr-peter-seligman-the-bang-for-buck-approach-to-co2-abatement">Bang for Buck in CO2 abatement</a>” (2008) discusses where you can invest your money most effectively to reduce your Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions; some of our favourite solutions do not bear up under his analysis [43 pages].</p>
<p><strong>8. David Spratt and Phillip Sutton</strong>, Climate Emergency Network, “<a href="http://www.climateemergencynetwork.org/images/stories/cen/ccr_pp.pdf">A Safe Climate Future</a>”, (2008), based on the book “<a href="http://www.climatecodered.net">Climate Code Red. The case for emergency action</a>” by David Spratt and Phillip Sutton (Scribe, Melbourne, 2008), a powerful summary of the latest climate science results by 2 leading non-scientist climate activists heavily informed by top climate scientists such as NASA’s Dr James Hansen who indeed endorsed “Climate Code Red” as “a  compelling case … we face a climate emergency” [95 pages].</p>
<p>The brilliant power point lectures I have listed above are not only educative for climate activists – they should be very useful for educating the public as a whole. Please tell everyone you can and encourage them to judge for themselves.</p>
<p>All of the above are referred to by me (biochemist, teacher, La Trobe University, Melbourne and U3A, Melbourne) in my “Global Warming, Climate Emergency Course” (2009) detailed course notes for an 8 x 2 hour course for the Yarra Valley University of the Third Age (U3A) on global warming, the present climatic disruption and what we can do about it [if you are in Melbourne , Australia: Semester 2,  St. Andrew’s Hall, Rosanna, Melbourne, Australia; 1.30-3.30 pm, each Tuesday, 7 July 2009 onwards; one semester course attendance cost A$15 for non-U3A members, A$7.50 for members of another U3A branch]. You can attend this up-to-date climate change course for FREE from the other side of the planet by simply accessing  the 52 pages of carefully documented notes via <a href="http://sites.google.com/site/yarravalleyclimateactiongroup/global-warming--global-emergency-course">this link</a>. </p>
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		<title>Green Quote of the Week: James Hansen on Coal River Mountain</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/02/04/green-quote-of-the-week-james-hansen-on-coal-river-mountain/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2009/02/04/green-quote-of-the-week-james-hansen-on-coal-river-mountain/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Feb 2009 19:25:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Green Quote]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coal River Mountain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coal River Mountain Watch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr James Hansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wind farm]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.green-blog.org/?p=1073</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Photo credit: World Development Movement Top US climate scientist Dr James Hansen shares his thoughts about Coal River Mountain and Barack Obama’s coal policy in general in a letter titled: &#8220;Tell President Obama About Coal River Mountain&#8220;. &#8220;Coal River Mountain &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2009/02/04/green-quote-of-the-week-james-hansen-on-coal-river-mountain/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="flickr"><a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/7884952@N07/2827229183/" title="Dr James Hansen" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3276/2827229183_6bb9292a5a_m.jpg" alt="Dr James Hansen" border="0" /></a><br /><small><a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/" title="Attribution License" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.green-blog.org/wp-content/plugins/photo-dropper/images/cc.png" alt="Creative Commons License" border="0" width="16" height="16" align="absmiddle" /></a> Photo credit: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/7884952@N07/2827229183/" title="World Development Movement" target="_blank">World Development Movement</a></small></div>
<p>Top US climate scientist Dr James Hansen shares his thoughts about Coal River Mountain and Barack Obama’s coal policy in general in a letter titled: &#8220;<a href="http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2009/20090203_CoalRiverMountain.pdf">Tell President Obama About Coal River Mountain</a>&#8220;.</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Coal River Mountain is the site of an absurdity.</p>
<p>[...]The issue at Coal River Mountain is whether the top of the mountain will be blown up, so that coal can be dredged out of it, or whether the mountain will be allowed to stand. It has been shown that more energy can be obtained from a proposed wind farm, if Coal River Mountain continues to stand. More jobs would be created. More tax revenue would flow, locally and to the state, and the revenue flow would continue indefinitely. Clean water and the environment would be preserved. But if planned mountaintop removal proceeds, the mountain loses its potential to be a useful wind source.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>You can read and download the report that Hansen is talking about over at <a href="http://www.crmw.net/">Coal River Mountain Watch</a>.</p>
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		<title>Dr James Hansen says we should prosecute climate change liars</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/25/dr-james-hansen-says-we-should-prosecute-climate-change-liars/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/25/dr-james-hansen-says-we-should-prosecute-climate-change-liars/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 21:16:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Simon Leufstedt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1988]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[350 ppm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[450 ppm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate criminals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate liars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate scientist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr James Hansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA 08 election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA election 2008]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://green-blog.org/?p=443</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Dr James Hansen, director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York and one of the worlds most prominent climate scientist, says in an article on the WorldWatch Institute website that climate change liars &#8220;should be tried &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/25/dr-james-hansen-says-we-should-prosecute-climate-change-liars/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-444" title="Dr James Hansen" src="http://green-blog.org/media/images/2008/06/james-hansen.jpg" alt="Dr James Hansen" width="240" height="235" />Dr James Hansen, director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York and one of the worlds most prominent climate scientist, says in an article on the <a href="http://www.worldwatch.org/node/5798">WorldWatch Institute</a> website that climate change liars &#8220;should be tried for high crimes against humanity and nature.&#8221;</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Instead of moving heavily into renewable energies, fossil fuel companies choose to spread doubt about global warming, just as tobacco companies discredited the link between smoking and cancer. Methods are sophisticated, including funding to help shape school textbook discussions of global warming.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><span id="more-309"></span></p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_Hansen">Dr James Hansen</a> wrote the guest opinion entry titled &#8220;<a href="http://www.worldwatch.org/node/5798">Global Warming Twenty Years Later</a>&#8221; in light of his testimonial to the US congress, 20 years after his 1988 June 23 testimony. In it he warns that &#8220;we have used up all slack in the schedule for actions needed to defuse the global warming time bomb,&#8221; and that the &#8220;climate is nearing dangerous tipping points.&#8221; According to Dr James Hansen we only have <a href="http://www.news.com.au/story/0,23599,23915189-5009760,00.html?from=public_rss">two years left</a> to act.</p>
<p>He also wrote that the &#8220;safe level of atmospheric carbon dioxide is no more than <a href="http://green-blog.org/2008/06/24/350-remember-this-number-for-the-rest-of-your-life/">350 ppm</a>&#8221; and that the 450 ppm (two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) goal, that for example <a href="http://green-blog.org/2008/01/24/eu-agrees-on-a-plan-of-action-against-climate-change/">the European Union</a> has agreed on, &#8220;is a recipe for global disaster, not salvation.&#8221;</p>
<p>Dr James Hansen urges that the &#8220;time is short&#8221; and that the 2008 USA election is &#8220;critical for the planet&#8221;. But when our politicians remain silent and at &#8220;loggerheads&#8221; we, the &#8220;citizens must lead.&#8221;</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;We must demand a moratorium on new coal-fired power plants. We must block fossil fuel interests who aim to squeeze every last drop of oil from public lands, off-shore, and wilderness areas. Those last drops are no solution. They yield continued exorbitant profits for a short-sighted, self-serving industry, but no alleviation of our addiction or long-term energy source.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>As Dr James Hansen says, &#8220;time is short.&#8221; So should we really wait for the mobs of climate change refugees to take out their revenge or should we start prosecuting these liars and climate criminals right now?</p>
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		<title>Pollutants from coal-based electricity generation kill 170,000 people annually</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/14/pollutants-from-coal-based-electricity-generation-kill-170000-people-annually/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/14/pollutants-from-coal-based-electricity-generation-kill-170000-people-annually/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2008 17:04:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dr Gideon Polya</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cahokia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal plants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[coal power]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dirty energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr James Hansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fossil fuels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Lovelock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pollutants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pollution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://green-blog.org/?p=429</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The image shows the old Cahokia Power Plant in Sauget, IL which has been decommissioned for 31 years. Photo: Jay Dugger Top British climate scientist Professor James Lovelock FRS has warned that over 6 billion people will die this century &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/06/14/pollutants-from-coal-based-electricity-generation-kill-170000-people-annually/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-430" title="Pollutants from coal-based electricity generation kill 170,000 people annually" src="http://green-blog.org/media/images/2008/06/coal-plant.jpg" alt="Pollutants from coal-based electricity generation kill 170,000 people annually" /></p>
<div class="imgdesc">The image shows the old Cahokia Power Plant in Sauget, IL which has been decommissioned for 31 years. Photo: <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/jay_dugger/464171420/">Jay Dugger</a></div>
<p>Top British climate scientist Professor James Lovelock FRS has warned that<a href="http://www.businessandmedia.org/printer/2007/20071022221333.aspx"> over 6 billion people will die this century due to unaddressed climate change</a>. Already 16 million people die avoidably in the world each year due to deprivation and deprivation-exacerbated disease (see: “<a href="http://globalbodycount.blogspot.com">Body Count. Global avoidable mortality since 1950</a>” (<a href="http://mwcnews.net/content/view/1375/247/%20">G.M. Polya, Melbourne, 2007</a>). It is already clear from declining agricultural production due to drought and massive storm surge disasters in India, Bangladesh, Burma and the US that global warming is already impacting on global avoidable mortality.</p>
<p><span id="more-298"></span></p>
<div class="quote1">&#8220;The report found that the “true cost” of coal-based electricity was 4-5 times the “market price” depending upon whether one valued a human life at $4 million or $5 million.&#8221;</div>
<p>Greenhouse gas pollution – mostly due to carbon dioxide (CO2) from fossil fuel burning – is driving global warming and attendant species extinctions, droughts, sea level rise, decreased agricultural production and increased human death. However a major reality that is generally ignored is the death toll associated with pollutants other than CO2 generated by fossil fuel burning, notably carbon monoxide, sulphur dioxide, particulates, volatile organic components, nitrogen oxides and heavy metals such as mercury. As outlined below an upper limit of about 0.3 million people die avoidably each year in the world due to the effects of toxic pollutants from fossil fuel burning.</p>
<p>The Ministry of Energy of Ontario, Canada, commissioned a report into “true cost” of coal-fired power plants i.e. the “true cost” taking into account the environmental cost and the human impact in terms of mortality (deaths) and morbidity (illness) (see: &#8220;<a href="http://www.energy.gov.on.ca/english/pdf/electricity/coal_cost_benefit_analysis_april2005.pdf">Cost Benefit Analysis: Replacing Ontario&#8217;s Coal-Fired Electricity Generation</a>&#8221; (PDF) by DSS Management Consultants Inc. and RWDI Air Inc., for the Ontario Ministry of Energy, April, 2005, 93 pages). The report found that the “true cost” of coal-based electricity was 4-5 times the “market price” depending upon whether one valued a human life at $4 million or $5 million.</p>
<p>Of crucial importance to analysis of human deaths from coal-based electricity generation, the Canadian report found that 668 Ontarians die due to 27 TWh (27 trillion Watt hours) of electricity generation (for a summary see: <a href="http://www.evworld.com/news.cfm?newsid=8836">http://evworld.com</a>).</p>
<p>Canada and Ontario in particular have excellent medical services that are readily accessed by all members of society. Further, the population density in Ontario is much lower than in other countries (indeed even continental Australia most of the coal-fired power stations and most of the population are confined to relatively densely populated coastal regions). Accordingly, estimates of “annual coal-based electricity deaths” in other countries based on the Ontario ratio of 668 avoidable deaths per annum /27 TWh = 24.7 deaths per TWh are likely to be UNDER-estimates.</p>
<p>Coal, gas and oil burning all produce toxic agents such as carbon monoxide, sulphur dioxide, particulates, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, volatile organic components and heavy metals, notably mercury (Hg) (see: <a href="http://www.dar.csiro.au/information/urbanpollution.html">http://dar.csiro.au/&#8230;/urbanpollution.html</a>). Sulphur (S) content varies and mercury (Hg) pollution from combusted petroleum and natural gas is about 10 times less than that which derives from coal (66 Mg/y in the US); however this estimate was based on Hg from US fuel oil of 1,500 kg/y whereas the US EPA estimates Hg from fuel oil at 10,000 kg/y (10 Mg/y: <a href="http://www.epa.gov/nrmrl/pubs/600r01066/600sr01066.pdf">http://www.epa.gov/&#8230;/.pdf</a>).</p>
<div class="quote1">&#8220;This could each year save some 25,000 lives, reduce respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses, avert potential neurological damage for 630,000 babies, and erase a health care bill of over $160 billion.&#8221;</div>
<p>We will initially ASSUME for arithmetic simplicity and “ball-park estimation” that the oil, gas and coal combustibles used to generate electricity are equally dirty in terms of toxic products and deadly impact – and then go back to assess coal-specific electricity generation using available data on the percentage of fossil–fuel-based electricity generation due to coal burning.</p>
<p>For authoritative information on energy usage we can refer to the US Energy Information Administration (US EIA) that reports <a href="http://www.eia.doe.gov/">official energy statistics</a> from the US Government covering the last quarter century. For all US EIA International data see: <a href="http://www.eia.doe.gov/international">http://eia.doe.gov/international</a> and for US EIA data on 2005 thermal electricity production, see <a href="http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/electricitygeneration.html">http://eia.doe.gov/&#8230;/electricitygeneration.html</a>.</p>
<p>The Ontario Ministry of Energy study indicated 668 deaths /27 TWh of coal-based electricity generation = 24.7 deaths/TWh. Using this figure we can estimate annual deaths from fossil fuel-based electricity generation (assuming equality in toxicity of coal, oil and gas burning and other factors such as medical services, population density and environmental protection services). Since Canada has excellent, publicly-accessible medical services, low population density and good environmental protection our estimate for other countries will be under-estimated &#8211; however the assumption that coal-burning is no more toxic than the burning of other fossil fuels may lead to over-estimation of the death toll.</p>
<p>Before providing these mortality estimates for all major fossil fuel-burning nations, it is useful to compare the estimates of annual deaths from fossil fuel-based electricity generation (“annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths”) with those from coal-based electricity generation (”annual coal-based electricity deaths”) for several key countries. Thus “annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths” for the US, the UK, Australia, Canada and New Zealand are 71,877, 6,854, 5,394, 3,760 and 355, respectively (2005). These estimates are compared with estimates for “annual coal-based electricity deaths” for these countries.</p>
<div class="quote1">&#8220;For the World as a whole coal provides 40% of the total electricity i.e. 6,940 TWh/y and corresponding to 171,418 “annual coal-based electricity deaths.&#8221;</div>
<p>The US “annual coal-based electricity deaths” have been estimated at 30,000 [2002]: “Coal-burning air pollution harms human heath in several different ways. Tiny particles of sulfur and nitrogen from coal burners lodge deep in our lungs, causing as many as 30,000 premature deaths per year, according to the most up-to-date <a href="http://www.appvoices.org/index.php?/site/voice_stories/the_true_costs_of_coal_new_study_adds_them_up/issue/541">study by EPA consultant Abt Associates</a>“. According to Janet Larsen of The Earth Policy Institute it is 25,100 [2004]: “By moving beyond coal, the United States could avoid a legacy of smog-filled skies, acid rain, polluted waterways, contaminated fish, and scarred landscapes. This could each year save some <a href="http://www.earth-policy.org/Updates/Update42.htm">25,000 lives</a>, reduce respiratory and cardiovascular illnesses, avert potential neurological damage for 630,000 babies, and erase a health care bill of over $160 billion”.</p>
<p>49% of US electricity of 4,065 TWh is from coal i.e. 1,991 TWh (2006: Sources: <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_generation">Wikipedia</a> and <a href="http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epat1p1.html">EIA</a>) indicating 49,153 [2006] ”annual coal-based electricity deaths” as compared to 71,887 “total annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths”.</p>
<p>The UK produced <a href="http://www.worldcoal.org/pages/content/index.asp?PageID=404">409 TWh of electricity in 2005</a> of which 33.6% was coal-based i.e. 137.4 TWh, this corresponding to 137.4 TWh x 668/27 TWh = 3,399 [2005] “annual coal-based electricity deaths” as compared to 6,854 “total annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths”.</p>
<p>Australia produced <a href="http://www.uic.com.au/nip37.htm">255 TWh of electricity in 2006</a> of which 92% was from fossil fuels and 77% was from burning black or brown coal, this yielding an estimate of 0.77 x 255 TWh x 668/27 TWh = 4,858[2006] ”<a href="http://climatefactsheets.blogspot.com">annual coal-based electricity deaths</a>” as compared to 0.77 x 5,394/0.92 = 4,515 [2005] ”annual coal-based electricity deaths” (see above) and total ”annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths” of 5,395 (2005; see above).</p>
<p>Canada produced <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_generation_in_Canada">567 TWh of electricity in 2003</a> of which 28% was from fossil fuels and 19% was from coal burning i.e.107.7 TWh and we can calculate 107.7 TWh x 668/27 TWh = 2,665 [2003] ”annual coal-based electricity deaths” as compared to 0.19 x 3,760/0.28= 2,551 [2005] ”annual coal-based electricity deaths” and 3,760 [2005] “total annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths”.</p>
<p>New Zealand produced <a href="http://www.worldcoal.org/pages/content/index.asp?PageID=403">41.6 TWh of electricity in 2005</a>. In 2004, 73% of the total input into electricity generation was from renewable resources(predominantly hydro), 16% was from gas and 11% was from coal i.e. 4.6TWh (2005) corresponding to 114 [2005] “annual coal-based electricity deaths” as compared to 355 “total annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths”.</p>
<div class="quote1">&#8220;The warnings of such eminent scientists are obfuscated by self-interested climate scepticism, especially from the leading per capita CO2 polluters, the US and Australia.&#8221;</div>
<p>It is useful to compare the above figures from the “Anglo” countries with those for the World and the major non-European Developing countries China and India using data from the US Energy Information Administration, the World Coal Institute and the Pew Centre on Climate Change (see: <a href="http://www.pewclimate.org/global-warming-basics/coalfacts.cfm">http://pewclimate.org/&#8230;/coalfacts.cfm</a>). Thus the “total annual fossil fuel-based electricity deaths” for India, China and the World can be estimated to be 13,319, 47,477 and 282, 945, respectively. In India 69% of electricity is from coal i.e. 456.5 TWh/y corresponding to 11, 276 “annual coal-based electricity deaths”. In China about 80% of electricity is from coal, corresponding to 1,898 TWh/y and 46,868 “annual coal-based electricity deaths”. For the World as a whole <a href="http://www.worldcoal.org/pages/content/index.asp?PageID=188">coal provides 40% of the total electricity</a> i.e. 6,940 TWh/y and corresponding to 171,418 “annual coal-based electricity deaths”.</p>
<p>The World is not responding to warnings from top climate scientists such as NASA’s Dr James Hansen and his colleagues who are calling for a “negative CO2 emissions” policy to reduce atmospheric CO2 to a safe level of no more than 350 ppm from the current already dangerous level of 385 ppm (see: <a href="http://arxiv.org/ftp/arxiv/papers/0804/0804.1126.pdf">http://arxiv.org/&#8230;/.pdf</a> and <a href="http://mwcnews.net/content/view/23119/42/">http://mwcnews.net/&#8230;/23119/42/</a>). The warnings of such eminent scientists are obfuscated by self-interested climate scepticism, especially from the leading per capita CO2 polluters, the US and Australia.</p>
<p>However the above analysis shows that there is a horrendous reality ALREADY of about 170,000 deaths annually throughout the world from the effects of coal-based electricity generation and as many as 0.3 million deaths annually from pollutants from fossil fuel-based electricity generation in general – a huge death toll that cannot be ignored. Please tell everyone you can.</p>
<p><em>Dr Gideon Polya published some 130 works in a 4 decade scientific career, most recently a huge pharmacological reference text &#8220;Biochemical Targets of Plant Bioactive Compounds&#8221; (CRC Press/Taylor &amp; Francis, New York &amp; London, 2003). He has just published “Body Count. Global avoidable mortality since 1950” (G.M. Polya, Melbourne, 2007: <a href="http://mwcnews.net/content/view/1375/247/">http://mwcnews.net</a> and <a href="http://globalbodycount.blogspot.com">http://globalbodycount.blogspot.com</a>);<br />
see also his contribution <a href="http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/ockham/stories/s1445960.htm">“Australian complicity in Iraq mass mortality” in “Lies, Deep Fries &amp; Statistics”</a> (edited by Robyn Williams, ABC Books, Sydney, 2007). He is currently preparing a revised and updated version of his 1998 book “<a href="http://janeaustenand.blogspot.com">Jane Austen and the Black Hole of British History</a>” as <a href="http://www.countercurrents.org/polya310308.htm">biofuel-, globalization- and climate-driven global food price increases</a> threaten a possibly 100-fold greater famine catastrophe than the man-made famine in British-ruled India that killed 6-7 million Indians in the &#8220;forgotten&#8221; World War 2 Bengal Famine (see recent <a href="http://www.open2.net/thingsweforgot/bengalfamine_programme.html">BBC broadcast involving Dr Polya, Economics Nobel Laureate Professor Amartya Sen and others</a>).</em></p>
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		<title>Declare Climate State of Emergency &#8211; Australian Climate Movement Convergence</title>
		<link>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/02/15/declare-climate-state-of-emergency-australian-climate-movement-convergence/</link>
		<comments>http://www.green-blog.org/2008/02/15/declare-climate-state-of-emergency-australian-climate-movement-convergence/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 Feb 2008 13:42:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Dr Gideon Polya</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australian Climate Movement Convergence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carbon Equity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Code Red]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate Code Red – the Case for a Sustainability Emerge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Spratt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr Gideon Polya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dr James Hansen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greenland]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greenleap Strategic Institute]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IPCC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NASA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Philip Sutton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[West Antarctica]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Australian Climate Action Groups from Melbourne and wider afield gathered together on Saturday 9 February, 2008 for a Climate Movement Convergence at Melbourne’s Northcote High School. A major event was the launching of an important book published by Friends of &#8230; <a href="http://www.green-blog.org/2008/02/15/declare-climate-state-of-emergency-australian-climate-movement-convergence/"></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img src="http://green-blog.org/media/images/2008/02/climate-code-red.jpg" align="right" alt="Climate Code Red – the Case for a Sustainability Emergency" />Australian Climate Action Groups from Melbourne and wider afield gathered together on Saturday 9 February, 2008 for a Climate Movement Convergence at Melbourne’s Northcote High School. A major event was the launching of an important book published by Friends of the Earth entitled “Climate Code Red – the Case for a Sustainability Emergency” by David Spratt (Carbon Equity) and Philip Sutton (Greenleap Strategic Institute) (this <a href="http://www.climatecodered.net">important report can be downloaded here</a>). A key outcome was the decision by some of these groups to form a Coalition for a Climate Emergency Declaration.</p>
<p><span id="more-194"></span></p>
<p>The morning sessions of the Convergence were devoted to a series of succinct addresses by a series of very well-informed speakers who variously addressed topics such as the Bali Conference, the Pacific Islands facing inundation, Carbon Equity, Technological Solutions, Opportunities for Business, Forests, Youth activism, Union Solidarity and Green Enterprises, North-South Issues , Social Justice and Equity, Arctic ice loss and Climate Emergency and the urgent need for a Climate State of Emergency Declaration. A repeated theme was indeed the current Climate Emergency and Sustainability Emergency and the need to take effective action to convince society, business and politicians to declare a Climate State of Emergency NOW.</p>
<p>The afternoon sessions began with the launch of  “Climate Code Red – the Case for a Sustainability Emergency” by David Spratt (Carbon Equity) and Philip Sutton (Greenleap Strategic Institute) (<a href="http://www.climatecodered.net">http://www.climatecodered.net</a>) (I will review this important book in detail on <a href="http://www.green-blog.org">Green Blog</a> shortly but a brief summary is provided below). The Convergence then continued with specific Workshops and Regional Climate Action Group (CAG) get-togethers.  A key outcome was the decision by some of these groups to reinforce sentiment from a prior initial meeting by agreeing to form a Coalition for a Climate Emergency Declaration.</p>
<p>The essence of the exhaustively referenced “Climate Code Red” book is that the IPCC 2007 Report was several years out of date when it appeared (their literature for consideration cut-off date was 2005) and that the global situation is far more serious than hitherto surmised. The latest climate research, in particular from NASA’s Dr James Hansen and his colleagues, reveals that we have already reached a “tipping point” in relation to the complete melting of Arctic summer ice (now predicted by some to occur as soon as in a few years’ time). The massive thinning and complete melting of Arctic ice is being driven by “positive feedback” elements (notably the so-called “albedo flip” involved in conversion of light-reflecting white ice to light-absorbing dark sea and consequent further sea and air warming). However this Arctic ice melting is promoting OTHER adverse events with attendant positive feedback effects leading to accelerated warming and ice melting phenomena e.g.  the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets are melting much faster than hitherto predicted (due to increased polar temperature and lubrication of glacier movements by melt water) and the tundra is thawing (with release of the greenhouse gases methane [CH4] and carbon dioxide [CO2], increased global warming etc).</p>
<p>The authors of “Climate Code Red” agree with NASA’s Dr James Hansen that the appropriate RESPONSE to this present situation of ACTUAL massive ecosystem damage (and with evident initiation of other likely non-linear global warming related events, notably ice sheet and tundra melting) is no longer the Bali-style “finite CO2 emission reduction targets”) or even “zero emissions” but must be an urgent global policy of “negative CO2 emissions”. This will involve cessation of coal power, and other fossil fuel burning, rapid expansion of renewable energy provision and mechanisms to REDUCE existing atmospheric CO2 from 385 ppm to a “safe”, sustainability-consistent 300-350 ppm (e.g. re-forestation, sulphate aerosols and return of carbon to the soil with pyrolytic biomass charring) (see: <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7143567.stm">http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/&#8230;/</a>).</p>
<p>According to Dr James Hansen, in calling for an immediate cessation of coal power:</p>
<blockquote><p>“If disintegration of these ice sheets passes their tipping points, dynamical collapse could proceed out of our control. If it melts completely, West Antarctica alone contains enough water to cause about 20 feet (6 meters) of sea-level rise. There are also tipping points in life systems. Today, as global temperature increases at a rate of about 0.2 degrees Celsius (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade, isotherms (a line of average temperature) are moving poleward at a rate of about 50-60 kilometers (35 miles) per decade. In response, some species are moving.” (see “: http://www.thebulletin.org/columns/james-hansen/20080124.html ).</p></blockquote>
<p>David Spratt and Philip Sutton crystallized the road ahead as indicated by “Climate Code Red &#8211; the Case for a Sustainability Emergency” by 5 key propositions that I have reproduced as headings below and addressed succinctly using my own words and perceptions.</p>
<p>1. “Our goal is a safe-climate future – we have no right to bargain away species or human lives.” Massive species extinctions have already occurred; there is massive ecosystem damage ALREADY; un-ameliorated current 2.5 ppm per year  increases in CO2 from the present 385 ppm CO2 threaten even more damage (world coral dies above 450 ppm; the ocean phytoplankton system goes at 500 ppm; sea level rises of 5 meters this century due to Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheet loss); current global warming ALREADY harms billions of people; and projected unaddressed global warming acutely threatens 6-9 billion people this century with over  6 billion predicted to perish this century by Professor Lovelock FRS (see: (see: <a href="http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/16956300/the_prophet_of_climate_change_james_lovelock">http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/&#8230;/</a> ; <a href="http://climateemergency.blogspot.com">http://climateemergency.blogspot.com</a>).</p>
<p>2. “We are facing rapid warming impacts: the danger is immediate, not just in the future.” Temperature increases approaching 2 degrees C above the pre-industrial (an average global temperature not seen for a million years) are ALREADY implicit in the system  &#8211; a global average   0.8 degrees C above pre-industrial ALREADY, with a further 0.6 degrees C in-built from current CO2 levels and 0.4 degrees C per decade temperature increases possible  from continuing “business as usual” CO2 pollution and declining carbon sink efficacy (through de-forestation, phytoplankton decline and storm-impacted loss of net CO2 absorption by the Oceans – this has ALREADY occurred with the Southern Ocean). Major UN relief programs are ALREADY being impacted by global warming effects, notably in Africa.</p>
<p>3.”For a safe climate future, strong action is required now to stop emissions and to cool the earth.” According to Dr Hansen we have ALREADY passed the “tipping point” for complete melting of Arctic sea ice and the attendant threats of accelerating Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheet melting, carbon sink failure, permafrost loss, phytoplankton and forest loss with non-linear effects and positive feedbacks. The technology and the economic incentives are ALREADY available  to replace fossil fuel burning by renewables (essentially ALL renewable energy sources are ALREADY cheaper than the “true cost” of coal–based power which is about 5 times higher than the current “market cost” (see: <a href="http://climateemergency.blogspot.com">http://climateemergency.blogspot.com</a>). Cooling the Earth can be further achieved by sulphate aerosols, soil carbon sequestration by adding pyrolytically charred  biomass and massive re-forestation.</p>
<p>4. “It is necessary to plan a large-scale transition to a post-carbon economy and society.” There are analogous precedents for rapid, highly profitable, industrial  conversion in the WW2 US armaments-geared economic boom, the post-war economic boom, the Asian Tiger economic expansion, the current China and India expansions and the IT revolution of the 1990s. 10,000 times more solar energy hits the Earth than is needed for Man’s current energy needs and the major renewable technologies are ALREADY cheaper than the “true cost” of coal power (see “Renewables: how the numbers stack up”: <a href="http://www.newmatilda.com/2007/08/08/how-numbers-stack">http://www.newmatilda.com/2007/08/08/how-numbers-stack</a>).</p>
<p>5. “We should recognize a climate and sustainability emergency, because we need to move at a pace far beyond business and politics as usual.” Dramtic industrial turn-around  has happened before in war-time (driven by the absolute need for victory), it has happened before in relation to New Technologies (driven by desire for profit) and it has happened in Asia (driven by a post-colonial desire for a better life above the starvation level of the colonial era). Aside from the moral obligations for biosphere and species sustainability, there is an extraordinary economic, social and indeed political advantage from Declaration of a Climate State of Emergency.</p>
<p>We have got to this present parlous state because of LYING – through the myth that the Powerful can take what they want with impunity from the water, air, land  and biological resources that are the COMMON Property of ALL  Humanity. As soon as these climate criminal, climate genocidal  barbarians  are made to pay the FULL environmental and human cost of what they are doing, the ALREADY AVAILABLE and economically-dictated renewable, sustainable solutions will become imperative. But before that can happen and as dictated by the climate science, we must ACT to Declare a Climate Emergency, a Climate State of Emergency, and we must do it NOW (see: “<a href="http://mwcnews.net/content/view/20133/42/">Climate Sustainability Emergency. Negative CO2 emissions needed now to save Planet</a>&#8220;: http://mwcnews.net/content/view/20133/42/ ; <a href="http://climateemergency.blogspot.com">“Climate Emergency, Sustainability Emergency”</a>).</p>
<p>Dr Gideon Polya published some 130 works in a 4 decade scientific career, most recently a huge pharmacological reference text &#8220;Biochemical Targets of Plant Bioactive Compounds&#8221; (CRC Press/Taylor &#038; Francis, New York &#038; London, 2003). He has just published “Body Count. Global avoidable mortality since 1950” (G.M. Polya, Melbourne, 2007: <a href="http://mwcnews.net/content/view/1375/247/">http://mwcnews.net/content/view/1375/247/</a> and <a href="http://globalbodycount.blogspot.com">http://globalbodycount.blogspot.com</a> ).</p>
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